FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/0900Z 27.2N 60.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 21/1800Z 28.3N 60.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 22/0600Z 29.9N 61.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 22/1800Z 31.5N 61.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 23/0600Z 33.1N 59.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 23/1800Z 34.5N 56.8W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 24/0600Z 35.4N 52.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 25/0600Z 36.9N 41.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 26/0600Z 40.0N 29.0W 55 KT 65 MPH

TXNT22 KNES 211220
TCSNTL
A. 07L (GABRIELLE)
B. 21/1130Z
C. 27.3N
D. 60.7W
E. THREE/GOES-E
F. T4.0/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...8.5/10 CURVED BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. THE MET
IS 4.0 BASED ON A STEADY TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 4.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET DUE TO BANDING
FEATURES NOT BEING CLEAR CUT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...HOSLEY

AL, 07, 2025092112, , BEST, 0, 273N, 607W, 55, 995, TS,

在无人注意的角落，Gabrielle也终于有点正规飓风的样子了

北大犯天条了？九月就一个小东西

North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity
Published: September 18, 2025
The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season has been unusually quiet during its peak. No named storms formed between August 24th and September 15th, a rare lull last seen in 1992. Additionally, no hurricane has formed in the Atlantic since hurricane Erin in mid-August. Through mid-September, the season has produced only six named storms and one hurricane, making it one of the least active starts in decades. This lack of activity is attributed to unfavorable conditions, including dry stable air, wind shear, and dust, which have prevented tropical waves from organizing in the main development region of the Atlantic.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 21/1500Z 27.7N 61.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 22/0000Z 28.8N 61.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 22/1200Z 30.3N 62.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 23/0000Z 31.9N 61.3W 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 23/1200Z 33.3N 59.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 24/0000Z 34.8N 55.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 24/1200Z 35.6N 50.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 25/1200Z 36.9N 38.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 26/1200Z 41.0N 27.1W 60 KT 70 MPH

有模有样

或已脱水？

真无人在意啊，对流好像还不如几小时前，但evis上能看出有点东西