现在风力有12级35米每秒了吗？

ADT你无敌了

蔷薇这长相告诉我们不是每个厄年风季都是1997 2015

其实从这些实战经验下来可以看出sd3对于结构的预报是很准的（强度预报参考性一般），凤凰的结构松散和蔷薇的结构松散的状态sd3都是最早报出来，说明这块在物理约束上预报比较准确，因此今后要提前看tc结构的预测可以多看sd3的预报（不过sd3报的强度可以不用特别考虑）另外ec其实虽然初始场现在不入流，而且反应也比较慢，但是ec在tc结构松紧上其实也是比较有敏感的，其实也可以在今后的tc预报中提前参考

ADT依旧眼球丢失，依旧不知所云

06W JANGMI 260530 0600 18.3N 129.6E WPAC 65 979

本年度第二个TY及以上台风诞生

TPPN10 PGTW 300615
A. TROPICAL STORM 06W (JANGMI)
B. 30/0530Z
C. 18.08N
D. 129.71E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .80 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 3.5. PT YIELDS 4.0. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
RUCKER

TXPQ28 KNES 300631
TCSWNP
A. 06W (JANGMI)
B. 30/0530Z
C. 18.1N
D. 129.6E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.0/4.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...8/10 CURVED BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.5. THE MET IS 4.0
BASED ON A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING TREND IN APPARENT INTENSITY OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 4.0. THE FT IS BASED ON THE MET AS A PORTION
OF THE MEASURED BAND ONLY DEVELOPED SINCE 03Z. MULTIPLE MESOVORTICES ARE
OBSERVED ROTATING AROUND THE CENTRAL POINT USED FOR THIS FIX. IT SHOULD
ALSO BE NOTED THAT MUCH OF THE CONVECTION WITHIN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT
IS, PER IR IMAGERY, SHALLOW AT THIS TIME.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...HOSLEY

06W JANGMI 260530 0600 18.3N 129.6E WPAC 65 979

今年给我一种18年的既视感洛鞍≈布拉万，西望洋≈三巴，鹦鹉≈04W，森拉克≈杰拉华，黑格比≈艾云尼(?)，蔷薇≈马力斯，仿佛又把我的思绪拉回了小学最后一年拿着旧手机看网页版风吧的那个夏天。不过当时可能也想不到20年代上半会如此拉胯吧

今天晚上可以期待一下这位的表现了

极向流出正在打开中