TPPN10 PGTW 130022
A. TROPICAL STORM 01W (WUTIP)
B. 12/2330Z
C. 18.30N
D. 108.67E
E. FIVE/GK2A
F. T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 71A/PBO XTRP/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .90 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 3.5. MET YIELDS 4.0. PT YIELDS 3.5. DBO PT.
INTENSITY ESTIMATE MAY NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE DUE TO PROXIMITY TO
LAND.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
TIMMERMAN

中心变清晰起来了

分析师胡啸认为描边，要不要判登呢

这走位太6了，一手台北部湾80概率

TXPQ22 KNES 130031
TCSWNP
A. 01W (WUTIP)
B. 12/2330Z
C. 18.2N
D. 108.4E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.0/4.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/ATMS
H. REMARKS...10/10W BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 4.0. UPR-LVL OUTFLOW
GOOD S AND W QUADS AND IMPROVING N AND E QUADS. MET=3.5 AND PT=4.0. FT
BASED ON MET DUE TO PULSING CONVECTION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
12/1815Z 17.8N 109.0E ATMS
...KONON

气研所短期回旋镖

TXPQ22 KNES 130031
TCSWNP
A. 01W (WUTIP)
B. 12/2330Z
C. 18.2N
D. 108.4E
E. THREE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.0/4.0
G. IR/EIR/VIS/ATMS
H. REMARKS...10/10W BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 4.0. UPR-LVL OUTFLOW
GOOD S AND W QUADS AND IMPROVING N AND E QUADS. MET=3.5 AND PT=4.0. FT
BASED ON MET DUE TO PULSING CONVECTION.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
12/1815Z 17.8N 109.0E ATMS
...KONON

要是真的登北海，岂不是首个广西一手台以及广西最早台风

感觉现在是不是对流衰弱好多了？

要c1登陆了要脱水，上台风级

接下来会登陆？
A：儋州
B：湛江
C：钦北防

高层西风槽进一步南伸